Baiano 1 Semi-finals
Global 2-2
SD Juazeirense vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 1
SDJ
22%
23%
55%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
ADA
2 - 2
SDJ
12%
17%
71%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 1
VIT
15%
21%
64%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 0
UNI
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
SDJ
3 - 3
VOL
17%
22%
62%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 1
SDJ
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
VIT
3 - 0
ALA
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 2
JAC
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 1
ALA
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |