Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-2
SD Formentera vs UE Porreres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
SDF
0 - 1
MHN
67%
21%
13%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
MAR
1 - 0
SDF
51%
27%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UE Porreres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
FLN
1 - 0
UEP
40%
30%
31%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
UEP
2 - 2
CDE
77%
16%
7%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
ALC
5 - 0
UEP
79%
15%
6%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
UEP
2 - 0
ORI
44%
30%
27%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +3 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
VIL
5 - 1
UEP
70%
20%
10%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |