Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-14
SD Formentera vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.1%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.1%
78.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
18.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24.1%
0-3
13.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
16%
0-4
7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
FLN
1 - 0
SDF
14%
23%
63%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SDF
3 - 0
CAM
76%
17%
7%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
SDF
17%
24%
60%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SDF
2 - 1
PBL
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
PXD
1 - 1
SDF
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SEV
2 - 1
VCF
48%
24%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
SEV
1 - 3
JUV
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 3
SEV
35%
26%
40%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
SEV
3 - 4
BOC
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SEV
1 - 2
FCB
12%
18%
70%
|
87 | 96 | 9 | 0 |