SD Formentera vs Felanitx analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
3º
13º
3º
0
12º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
6 | 75 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 72 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 70 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 56 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 55 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 55 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 53 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 49 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 47 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 46 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 39 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 35 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
15º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 34 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
0 | 33 |
17º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
19.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
71.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 49% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 50.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LLO
1 - 0
SDF
13%
22%
65%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 0
SDF
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
IZA
1 - 0
SDF
25%
25%
51%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SDF
0 - 1
IZA
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CER
0 - 2
SDF
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Felanitx
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FLN
1 - 2
PBL
18%
22%
60%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FLN
5 - 0
IMA
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MER
0 - 0
FLN
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FLN
0 - 3
IBI
11%
22%
68%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FLN
0 - 0
CFP
26%
27%
47%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |