SD Esteirana vs SD San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Esteirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
FIS
2 - 1
EST
40%
22%
38%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
DUM
25%
23%
52%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
PUE
22%
22%
57%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
EST
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BER
3 - 2
EST
65%
18%
17%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SD San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SLV
2 - 4
BER
39%
23%
38%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VCC
1 - 2
SLV
41%
23%
36%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
PRA
4 - 0
SLV
27%
24%
49%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
SLV
2 - 5
TOR
41%
22%
37%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SLV
2 - 2
AGO
88%
9%
3%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |