Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-4
SD Erandio vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
SDE
4 - 2
PON
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
AVI
0 - 1
SDE
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
SDE
2 - 2
CAU
45%
26%
29%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
ZAM
3 - 0
SDE
73%
18%
9%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1973 |
SDE
2 - 0
ALA
29%
26%
45%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +5 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
SEV
3 - 0
RAY
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
MLL
1 - 1
SEV
39%
31%
30%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
SEV
3 - 3
LIN
79%
16%
5%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
SEV
0 - 0
UES
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
BET
3 - 0
SEV
57%
25%
17%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |