SD Erandio vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
51.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
BAR
4 - 2
SDE
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
SSC
3 - 3
SDE
70%
16%
14%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
SDE
1 - 3
ARE
24%
21%
55%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
SDE
0 - 1
OSA
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 71 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
ALA
3 - 2
SDE
82%
11%
7%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
RUN
2 - 2
SSC
80%
12%
8%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
RUN
1 - 0
OSA
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
RSO
1 - 1
RUN
77%
13%
10%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
RUN
1 - 0
BAR
64%
18%
18%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
ARE
4 - 0
RUN
66%
18%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |