Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-4
SD Erandio vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
43.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
SDE
0 - 1
FCA
41%
29%
29%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
REU
1 - 0
SDE
51%
31%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
SDE
0 - 0
CDT
42%
30%
28%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
RAC
0 - 0
SDE
81%
14%
5%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
LOG
1 - 0
SDE
78%
16%
6%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
CCF
1 - 3
RAY
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
RAY
1 - 0
OVI
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
ALA
1 - 1
RAY
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
PEG
1 - 2
RAY
26%
30%
44%
|
71 | 34 | 37 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
RAY
4 - 0
LIN
69%
20%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |