Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-2
SD Erandio vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
ZAR
1 - 0
SDE
59%
24%
17%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
SDE
2 - 1
MUT
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
CDT
0 - 4
SDE
66%
21%
13%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
SDE
3 - 0
LEM
75%
17%
8%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
SAB
1 - 0
SDE
62%
23%
15%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
CAD
1 - 0
CEL
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
CEL
4 - 2
OSA
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
RMC
2 - 1
CEL
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
CDO
0 - 1
CEL
30%
31%
39%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
CEL
2 - 0
DEP
65%
22%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |