Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-1
SD Erandio vs Aurrera KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1981 |
AFT
1 - 0
SDE
49%
27%
25%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
SDE
3 - 2
BKE
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
EIB
1 - 1
SDE
66%
21%
14%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
SDE
1 - 0
TOL
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
RUN
1 - 1
SDE
45%
29%
26%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1981 |
AUR
1 - 0
ZOR
64%
23%
14%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
LON
1 - 1
AUR
58%
24%
18%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
AUR
4 - 3
LEM
68%
21%
11%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
CDM
1 - 1
AUR
47%
29%
24%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
AUR
0 - 0
BFC
55%
26%
19%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |