Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-1
SD Erandio vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
45.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
SDE
2 - 0
LEM
26%
26%
48%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
RCF
2 - 0
SDE
78%
16%
6%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1973 |
ALA
1 - 1
SDE
81%
14%
5%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
SDE
2 - 3
ATH
20%
25%
54%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
UPL
3 - 2
SDE
76%
18%
7%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
RSO
2 - 2
ALA
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
ALA
3 - 0
OSA
74%
19%
8%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1973 |
ALA
1 - 1
SDE
81%
14%
5%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
ALA
14%
25%
61%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
ALA
1 - 0
MIR
66%
22%
12%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |