Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 0-4
SD Compostela vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Compostela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
COM
1 - 0
AST
92%
7%
2%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
GIM
3 - 0
COM
64%
20%
15%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
COM
3 - 1
DEP
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
BAS
2 - 1
COM
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
COM
3 - 1
ENS
63%
20%
16%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
AVI
3 - 0
TUR
57%
24%
20%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
LEM
1 - 0
AVI
53%
25%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
AVI
3 - 0
AST
83%
12%
5%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
GIM
4 - 0
AVI
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
AVI
1 - 2
DEP
51%
26%
24%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |