Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-1
SD Compostela vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Compostela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
COM
2 - 0
LEG
42%
30%
28%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
CFP
1 - 1
COM
53%
27%
20%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
RCF
1 - 1
COM
54%
27%
19%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
COM
1 - 0
PON
47%
27%
26%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
UPL
1 - 0
COM
51%
28%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
BAR
2 - 1
RCF
12%
25%
63%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
RCF
1 - 0
CAR
60%
25%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
RCF
1 - 1
COM
54%
27%
19%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
MEI
0 - 4
RCF
17%
26%
58%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
RCF
1 - 1
GRA
75%
19%
7%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |