Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-4
SD Compostela vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Compostela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
COM
2 - 1
GRA
87%
10%
4%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
FCM
3 - 0
COM
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -3 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
COM
3 - 0
LAR
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
COM
1 - 1
UPL
49%
25%
27%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
LAR
0 - 0
COM
19%
22%
59%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
PON
1 - 0
ALA
34%
27%
39%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
SPO
0 - 1
PON
15%
23%
62%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
PON
1 - 0
SSC
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
ROB
1 - 0
PON
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
LAR
1 - 3
PON
18%
25%
56%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |