Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 6-5
SD Compostela vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Compostela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ALB
2 - 2
COM
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
COM
2 - 2
SLA
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
LLE
3 - 1
COM
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
COM
1 - 0
LOG
67%
20%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
UDL
2 - 1
COM
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ATM
2 - 2
NUM
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
NUM
2 - 0
SEV
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
OVI
1 - 0
NUM
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
NUM
3 - 3
FCB
14%
21%
65%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
VCF
4 - 0
NUM
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |