Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-1
SD Compostela vs Noia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Compostela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
PON
1 - 0
COM
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
COM
2 - 1
CAU
62%
23%
15%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
AVI
3 - 2
COM
61%
23%
16%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
DEP
0 - 2
COM
56%
25%
19%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
COM
1 - 0
LUG
60%
24%
16%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
CEL
3 - 0
NOI
58%
25%
17%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
NOI
2 - 1
GRA
45%
28%
27%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ALO
1 - 2
NOI
65%
22%
13%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
NOI
2 - 0
LEN
45%
28%
27%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
ARO
2 - 1
NOI
73%
18%
9%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |