Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-4
SD Compostela vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Compostela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
RAC
0 - 0
COM
35%
30%
35%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
COM
2 - 0
CAY
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
SAN
1 - 0
COM
28%
30%
42%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
PEG
4 - 4
COM
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
COM
3 - 1
MIR
48%
28%
24%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
MIR
1 - 0
LUG
81%
14%
5%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
LUG
0 - 0
CUL
37%
32%
31%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
RUN
2 - 1
LUG
77%
17%
6%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
LUG
1 - 1
ARO
72%
20%
8%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
NAV
0 - 1
LUG
44%
30%
26%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |