Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-1
SD Compostela vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Compostela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
COM
0 - 0
ARO
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
ROB
1 - 2
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
COM
1 - 0
CLU
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
COM
1 - 1
NOI
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
PON
1 - 0
COM
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
SMA
2 - 0
CEL
49%
26%
25%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
CEL
1 - 0
CAM
55%
28%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
GIN
5 - 1
CEL
51%
26%
23%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
CEL
1 - 0
LUG
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
CEL
3 - 0
NOI
58%
25%
17%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |