Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-3
SD Compostela vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Compostela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
OVI
1 - 1
COM
54%
24%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
COM
0 - 0
DEP
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1997 |
COM
0 - 0
CEL
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
VCF
4 - 1
COM
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
COM
1 - 4
ATH
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
CDT
0 - 0
ALA
33%
30%
38%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1997 |
ALA
5 - 1
VIL
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1997 |
RAY
0 - 0
ALA
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
ALA
1 - 2
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
OSA
0 - 1
ALA
51%
27%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |