SD Ceuta vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
ALI
4 - 2
SDC
68%
17%
16%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
SDC
3 - 0
BET
61%
20%
19%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
ELD
3 - 2
SDC
60%
20%
21%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
SDC
1 - 2
CDB
61%
19%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
ALG
1 - 1
SDC
59%
20%
21%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1956 |
VAL
5 - 2
PUE
85%
10%
6%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
GRA
3 - 0
VAL
76%
15%
10%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1956 |
VAL
3 - 1
CAD
73%
15%
12%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
VAL
1 - 0
CDT
66%
18%
16%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
ALI
3 - 3
VAL
67%
18%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |