SD Ceuta vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
RCD
3 - 2
SDC
63%
18%
18%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
SDC
1 - 2
CAD
47%
22%
32%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
EHA
0 - 3
SDC
42%
22%
36%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
SEV
2 - 1
SDC
83%
11%
6%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
SDC
3 - 4
SEV
27%
22%
52%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
REC
2 - 2
GRA
56%
20%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
RCD
3 - 2
REC
47%
21%
32%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
REC
2 - 2
JFC
57%
21%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
REC
1 - 0
DEP
39%
22%
39%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
DEP
5 - 0
REC
72%
15%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |