SD Ceuta vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
CON
0 - 1
SDC
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
SDC
5 - 1
OSA
63%
18%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
BET
1 - 1
SDC
62%
19%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
JFC
5 - 3
SDC
64%
19%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
SDC
2 - 0
VAD
57%
20%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
ZAR
0 - 0
SPO
57%
20%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
ALC
6 - 1
ZAR
33%
24%
43%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
ZAR
1 - 1
CUL
74%
15%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
ZAR
3 - 1
MUR
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
ARE
2 - 1
ZAR
34%
27%
38%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |