SD Ceuta vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
37.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
JFC
3 - 0
SDC
66%
19%
16%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
SDC
5 - 2
SAB
37%
23%
40%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
SLA
4 - 1
SDC
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
SDC
4 - 0
MLL
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
GRA
2 - 0
SDC
76%
14%
10%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
RSO
3 - 1
BET
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
GIM
2 - 4
RSO
41%
23%
36%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
RSO
0 - 1
RAC
60%
18%
22%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
RCF
2 - 2
RSO
43%
23%
34%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
RSO
1 - 2
ZAR
68%
17%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |