SD Ceuta vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
MAL
3 - 0
SDC
82%
12%
7%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
SDC
4 - 0
EXT
60%
20%
20%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
SDC
5 - 0
CEU
89%
7%
4%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
UTA
1 - 1
SDC
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
SDC
4 - 2
LCF
86%
9%
5%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
MUR
4 - 0
PUE
90%
7%
3%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
GRA
4 - 2
MUR
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1956 |
MUR
4 - 1
OVI
59%
19%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 1956 |
BET
0 - 1
MUR
55%
21%
25%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1956 |
MUR
1 - 1
CDC
73%
15%
13%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |