SD Ceuta vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
ZAR
6 - 3
SDC
67%
17%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
SDC
2 - 3
CON
65%
19%
17%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
OSA
5 - 1
SDC
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
SDC
2 - 1
BET
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1943 |
SDC
2 - 4
FCB
25%
21%
54%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
MUR
4 - 2
SPO
48%
21%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
ALC
3 - 2
MUR
43%
23%
34%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
MUR
3 - 1
CUL
67%
18%
15%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
ARE
0 - 1
MUR
40%
25%
36%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
SDC
1 - 1
MUR
60%
20%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |