SD Ceuta vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
34.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
JFC
1 - 1
SDC
51%
21%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
SDC
0 - 1
MAL
52%
22%
26%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
CAR
0 - 0
SDC
38%
22%
41%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
SDC
5 - 0
CAD
53%
22%
25%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
SDC
1 - 1
BET
34%
24%
42%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
ELC
3 - 4
MUR
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
MUR
2 - 0
JFC
81%
12%
8%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
MAL
1 - 0
MUR
56%
21%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
MUR
5 - 0
CAR
84%
10%
6%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAD
71%
16%
13%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |