Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-9
SD Ceuta vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
42.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
ZAR
4 - 1
SDC
66%
18%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
SDC
2 - 1
CEL
43%
22%
35%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
SDC
1 - 0
RSO
49%
21%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
BET
0 - 0
SDC
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1944 |
SDC
2 - 3
ALC
67%
18%
16%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
SPO
0 - 1
RMA
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
RMA
2 - 1
MUR
75%
14%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
SAB
3 - 2
RMA
37%
26%
38%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
RMA
2 - 1
CAS
72%
15%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1944 |
GRA
0 - 1
RMA
44%
23%
32%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |