SD Ceuta vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1950 |
PUL
5 - 1
SDC
77%
13%
10%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
SDC
2 - 1
BAL
50%
20%
30%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
CAT
3 - 0
SDC
68%
17%
16%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
SDC
6 - 3
CAD
80%
12%
8%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
ALG
2 - 2
SDC
50%
20%
30%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
MEL
6 - 1
HER
46%
22%
32%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
LEV
2 - 0
MEL
77%
13%
10%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
MEL
6 - 1
ALB
48%
21%
30%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
MEL
5 - 0
XER
72%
15%
13%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
REC
4 - 1
MEL
55%
20%
25%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |