SD Ceuta vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
BAL
1 - 3
SDC
48%
21%
31%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
SDC
3 - 1
RCD
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
SDC
3 - 1
BET
39%
23%
39%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
CAD
5 - 1
SDC
40%
22%
38%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
SDC
2 - 1
BAL
67%
17%
16%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
MEL
4 - 2
LCF
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
BAL
2 - 1
MEL
78%
12%
10%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
ALG
3 - 2
MEL
68%
15%
16%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
MEL
2 - 2
LCF
72%
15%
13%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
MEL
1 - 1
REC
47%
21%
32%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |