SD Ceuta vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
28%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04 Feb. 1951 |
LEV
1 - 0
SDC
69%
16%
15%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
30 Jan. 1951 |
SDC
1 - 0
ALB
60%
18%
21%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
21 Jan. 1951 |
MEL
4 - 1
SDC
62%
18%
20%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
14 Jan. 1951 |
SDC
3 - 1
PUL
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
07 Jan. 1951 |
BAL
3 - 0
SDC
66%
17%
18%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04 Feb. 1951 |
SLA
1 - 1
HER
56%
20%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
28 Jan. 1951 |
HER
3 - 1
LEV
60%
19%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
21 Jan. 1951 |
ALB
4 - 1
HER
51%
21%
28%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
14 Jan. 1951 |
HER
4 - 1
MEL
67%
18%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
06 Jan. 1951 |
PUL
3 - 1
HER
59%
19%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |