SD Ceuta vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
ELC
3 - 1
SDC
36%
23%
42%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
SDC
3 - 1
ALC
75%
15%
11%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
MAL
0 - 1
SDC
62%
19%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
MUR
1 - 1
SDC
62%
19%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
SDC
2 - 1
CAD
64%
18%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
HER
4 - 1
ALC
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
MUR
3 - 0
HER
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
HER
1 - 1
JFC
78%
14%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
HER
3 - 0
ELC
81%
12%
7%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
MAL
4 - 1
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |