Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-5
SD Ceuta vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
34.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
SDC
1 - 2
JFC
59%
20%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
VAD
2 - 1
SDC
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1944 |
SDC
2 - 1
HER
49%
21%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
BAR
1 - 1
SDC
51%
23%
27%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
SDC
5 - 0
ARE
70%
17%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
GRA
5 - 2
CEL
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 0
GRA
62%
18%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
GRA
1 - 1
CAS
53%
21%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
ATM
0 - 0
GRA
76%
14%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
GRA
1 - 0
RSO
67%
17%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |