SD Ceuta vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
ALC
2 - 3
SDC
43%
22%
35%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
SDC
1 - 0
MAL
63%
19%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
SEV
4 - 1
SDC
88%
8%
4%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
SDC
3 - 2
SEV
25%
21%
54%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
BET
2 - 1
SDC
77%
14%
10%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
MAL
2 - 1
ELC
77%
13%
10%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
ELC
1 - 1
CAD
36%
23%
41%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
VCF
2 - 1
ELC
89%
7%
4%
|
45 | 87 | 42 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
ELC
1 - 4
VCF
18%
19%
63%
|
45 | 87 | 42 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
ELC
3 - 0
MAL
37%
23%
40%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +2 |