SD Ceuta vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
15.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
CON
3 - 0
SDC
49%
21%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
SDC
3 - 2
CON
62%
19%
19%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ELC
6 - 1
SDC
43%
22%
35%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
REC
4 - 1
SDC
59%
19%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
SDC
5 - 2
BAL
72%
16%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
CON
3 - 3
ELC
63%
18%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ELC
0 - 1
CON
56%
20%
24%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ELC
6 - 1
SDC
43%
22%
35%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
ELC
4 - 1
ALI
65%
18%
17%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
OLI
4 - 3
ELC
53%
21%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |