SD Ceuta vs Tetuán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
CAT
1 - 0
SDC
43%
21%
37%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
SDC
2 - 1
COR
89%
8%
4%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
SDC
2 - 2
EME
88%
8%
4%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
SFE
2 - 1
SDC
34%
21%
45%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
SDC
4 - 1
LCF
86%
9%
5%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Tetuán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
CAT
1 - 0
SDC
43%
21%
37%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
EME
3 - 6
CAT
65%
17%
18%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
CAT
7 - 1
SFE
71%
15%
14%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
ANT
2 - 0
CAT
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
LCF
2 - 0
CAT
64%
18%
19%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |