SD Ceuta vs Tetuán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
SDC
5 - 1
ALG
82%
11%
7%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
CAT
3 - 2
SDC
32%
23%
45%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
LCF
1 - 1
SDC
24%
22%
54%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
SDC
1 - 0
MEL
78%
13%
9%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
CAA
1 - 0
SDC
25%
22%
53%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Tetuán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
BAL
2 - 1
CAT
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
CAT
3 - 2
SDC
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
CAT
3 - 2
MEL
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
ANT
6 - 1
CAT
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -3 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
CAT
2 - 1
CAD
66%
17%
17%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |