SD Ceuta vs Cartagena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
15.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1941 |
CAD
2 - 1
SDC
67%
17%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
BET
3 - 1
SDC
74%
15%
11%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
SDC
2 - 1
BET
31%
23%
47%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
SDC
3 - 0
ELC
68%
16%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
CON
3 - 0
SDC
49%
21%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Cartagena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1941 |
CAR
2 - 3
MUR
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
MUR
2 - 2
CAR
80%
12%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
CAR
1 - 2
MUR
34%
23%
43%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
CAR
2 - 0
ELC
63%
18%
19%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
ELC
1 - 1
CAR
58%
20%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |