Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-4
SD Ceuta vs Real Betis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
46.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
SDC
3 - 0
ELC
68%
16%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
CON
3 - 0
SDC
49%
21%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
SDC
3 - 2
CON
62%
19%
19%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ELC
6 - 1
SDC
43%
22%
35%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
REC
4 - 1
SDC
59%
19%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
CAD
1 - 2
BET
38%
23%
40%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
BET
1 - 2
CAD
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
BAD
1 - 0
BET
16%
24%
59%
|
75 | 35 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
BET
4 - 3
GIR
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
BET
3 - 0
GRA
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |