Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 4-9
SD Ceuta vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
54.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1943 |
FCB
5 - 2
SDC
88%
8%
5%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
SDC
4 - 0
BET
50%
21%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 May. 1943 |
BET
1 - 1
SDC
62%
19%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1943 |
GRA
3 - 0
SDC
76%
14%
10%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
SDC
5 - 0
GRA
35%
23%
43%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +3 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1943 |
FCB
5 - 2
SDC
88%
8%
5%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
FCB
4 - 1
CEL
76%
13%
11%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1943 |
CEL
1 - 5
FCB
51%
20%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1943 |
FCB
8 - 1
LEV
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
LEV
2 - 3
FCB
26%
21%
53%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |