SD Ceuta vs Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
SDC
1 - 0
MUR
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
CCF
4 - 2
SDC
75%
14%
11%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
SDC
1 - 1
CAD
59%
21%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
ALC
3 - 1
SDC
56%
21%
23%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
SDC
2 - 1
ELD
60%
20%
20%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
HER
3 - 1
ALI
79%
13%
8%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
ALI
1 - 2
PUL
71%
16%
13%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
XER
5 - 1
ALI
73%
15%
12%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
ALI
2 - 0
SFE
65%
18%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
LEV
4 - 1
ALI
67%
18%
15%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |