SD Ceuta vs Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1957 |
BET
3 - 0
SDC
76%
14%
9%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
SDC
2 - 1
ELD
67%
18%
16%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
CDB
2 - 3
SDC
74%
15%
11%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
SDC
1 - 0
ALG
65%
18%
17%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
CAS
1 - 1
SDC
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1957 |
ALI
2 - 0
PUE
72%
15%
13%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
GRA
4 - 0
ALI
78%
13%
9%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
ALI
1 - 1
CAD
75%
14%
11%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
VAL
0 - 4
ALI
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
ALI
2 - 1
CDT
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |