SD Ceuta vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1944 |
BAR
0 - 1
SDC
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1944 |
SDC
5 - 1
MLL
75%
14%
11%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1944 |
CON
3 - 3
SDC
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
SDC
4 - 2
HER
47%
21%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
RCF
2 - 2
SDC
45%
25%
31%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1944 |
MLL
3 - 1
ALC
42%
25%
34%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1944 |
ALC
2 - 2
HER
49%
21%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1944 |
RAC
1 - 1
ALC
58%
20%
22%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
ALC
0 - 0
CUL
65%
18%
17%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
CEL
2 - 2
ALC
79%
12%
9%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |