SD Ceuta vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
BAL
3 - 0
SDC
66%
17%
18%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
SDC
0 - 0
CAT
61%
20%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
SDC
3 - 3
GRA
53%
22%
26%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1950 |
VAL
3 - 2
SDC
62%
18%
20%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
SDC
3 - 1
CAR
66%
17%
17%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1951 |
PUL
3 - 1
HER
59%
19%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
LEV
3 - 0
PUL
63%
19%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
ALB
1 - 2
PUL
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1950 |
PUL
2 - 1
MEL
68%
17%
15%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1950 |
PUL
2 - 2
SLA
62%
18%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |