Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-2
SD Ceuta vs Real Club Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
4.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
SEV
5 - 0
SDC
80%
12%
8%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
SDC
3 - 3
SEV
33%
23%
44%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Real Club Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
ATM
4 - 0
RCV
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 69 | 51 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
RCV
2 - 2
ATM
17%
19%
65%
|
17 | 69 | 52 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
RCV
1 - 3
ESP
14%
19%
67%
|
18 | 84 | 66 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
ESP
5 - 1
RCV
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 84 | 66 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
RCV
5 - 1
VAD
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 68 | 52 | +2 |