SD Borja vs Fraga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Borja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 0
SDB
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SDB
0 - 1
ATL
48%
25%
27%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 0
SDB
34%
28%
38%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SDB
0 - 2
CFA
30%
27%
42%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TER
4 - 1
SDB
77%
16%
8%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 1
BIN
20%
23%
58%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 0
FRA
79%
15%
6%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 2
ICF
26%
24%
50%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SAB
2 - 0
FRA
60%
22%
18%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
AND
5 - 0
FRA
78%
15%
7%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |