Atl. Nacional vs Santa Gema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 3
CHO
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 0
NAC
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 0
SFF
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 5
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 2
NAC
51%
27%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
GEM
0 - 0
VER
47%
25%
27%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
GEM
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
GEM
2 - 1
IND
41%
27%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
GEM
1 - 1
IND
41%
27%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
GEM
0 - 1
RIO
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |