Atl. Nacional vs San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ARA
4 - 0
NAC
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 0
AFC
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
TAU
2 - 1
NAC
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
CHO
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
GEM
3 - 1
NAC
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
SFF
0 - 2
AMA
43%
30%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SMI
5 - 1
SFF
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 0
SFF
9%
18%
73%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
SFF
1 - 1
VER
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
SFF
0 - 0
GEM
54%
26%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |