Atl. Nacional vs Plaza Amador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
47.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
TAU
1 - 0
NAC
66%
22%
12%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 0
SUN
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
COL
3 - 1
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
COL
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SUN
3 - 1
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 0
SFF
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 1
AMA
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 1
ARA
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 1
CHE
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 1
AMA
48%
28%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |