Atl. Nacional vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
TAU
0 - 1
NAC
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 0
NAC
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SFF
2 - 2
NAC
61%
24%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 2
NAC
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 2
CHE
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 2
CHO
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 1
TAU
42%
27%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 1
CHO
55%
26%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 1
CHE
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 2
CHO
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |