Atl. Nacional vs Atlético Veragüense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SFF
3 - 2
NAC
61%
24%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 2
ARA
26%
27%
48%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
AFC
0 - 1
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
TAU
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 2
NAC
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Veragüense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
VER
0 - 1
AMA
26%
31%
43%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SMI
1 - 1
VER
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
GEM
0 - 0
VER
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VER
0 - 2
SFF
34%
29%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ARA
0 - 1
VER
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |